Saturday, May 28, 2016

How A U.S. - China War Could Break Out Over Japan's Islands



Chen Pokong, National Interest: If the U.S. and China Go to War: The Battle of the Senkakus

How war could break out over Japan's islands

Editor’s note: The following is a translation of Chapter 7 of the book If the U.S. and China Go to War《假如中美开战》 by the author and analyst Chen Pokong. The current volume was published in Chinese in 2013 and was later translated to Japanese. It presents a range of potential conflict scenarios between China and the United States, including what may trigger conflict, and what the order of events may be.

Chapter 7 of the book presents a hypothetical scenario involving “Brother Choy,” an eager Chinese patriot based in Hong Kong, and shows how the activism of groups like this around the Senkaku Islands might easily lead to a conflict that quickly spirals out of control. With continued tensions in the region, the chapter makes for sobering reading.


For a time, there was tranquility around the Senkaku Islands—Chinese maritime police boats or surveillance aircraft were nowhere to be found. The serenity persisted for several months. During this period, Chinese media carried articles by scholars urging a maintenance of good relations between China and Japan, and a cooling of tensions. Chinese government officials also adopted a milder stance when discussing Sino-Japanese relations in public.

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WNU Editor: A hypothetical scenario .... I hope that it stays that way.

1 comment:

Jac said...

Well there are a lot of "if", not said, but still supposed.Chinese are more rational than reported and keeping their personal status is more important than any war.